DC’s violence has become much more deadly despite complaint crimes at 30 years old

The chances of a person facing a violent crime in Washington, DC, have dropped in recent years, but the possibility of dying for such a crime has skyrocketed, according to data.

“You are less likely to be a victim, but if you are a victim, you are more likely to die,” the auxiliary professor John Jay, Jillian Snider, a retirement from the New York police officer on Tuesday in Fox News Digital Trends of crime in the national capital.

SNIDER referred to a report published by the Criminal Justice Council in July, which studied data on violent crimes of 17 major American cities between 2018 and 2024, plunging specifically into the lethality of violent crimes in these cities. He revealed that Washington, DC, had the highest level of lethality in the group – which included cities such as Baltimore and Chicago – with a 38% increase in lethality in 2024 compared to 2018.

Letter in DC jumped 341% compared to the 2012 data, revealed that the study said that there were 13 homicides for 1,000 violent crimes in 2012 at 57 homicides for 1,000 severe violent crimes in 2024.

The study defined lethality as “the number of homicides by aggravated aggressions and thefts”.

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The chances of a person facing a violent crime in Washington, DC, have dropped in recent years, but the possibility of dying for such a crime has skyrocketed, according to data. (Getty Images)

DC crime rates are under national spotlights this week after President Donald Trump announced on Monday morning at a crowded press conference that he federalized the Metropolitan Police Department under article 740 of the Columbia District Act, which allows the president to assume emergency control of the capital’s police for 30 days.

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“Our capital was overwhelmed by violent gangs and bloodthirsty criminals, itinerant crowds of wild young people, drugged maniacs and homeless,” Trump said at the press conference. “And we are not going to let it happen. We are not going to take it.”

After Trump’s announcement, Democratic legislators criticized the president for allegedly exceeded and sent the National Guard despite the drop in criminal trends in recent years. The best Democrats, like the minority head of the Hakeem Jeffries room, promoted the story that the crime is 30 years old.

“Violent crimes in Washington, DC are a hollow of thirty,” said Jeffries on Monday. “Donald Trump has no foundation to resume the local police service. And no credibility on the question of the law and the order. Get lost.”

“While you listen to an unleashed Trump, try to justify the deployment of the National Guard to DC, here is the reality: the violent crime at DC is a hollow of 30 years,” said the former Secretary of State of State Hillary Clinton posted on x.

Asked about some Democrats stroke that crime fell at 30, Snider argued that it was not “fair” to compare a city in 2025 to one in the 1990s.

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“The 90s were a trembling period in most urban and metropolitan areas,” she said. “We leave the Crack epidemic. We are coming out of the economic instability of the late 80s. And then the 90s, we saw this revolutionary police, this broken Windows police, this police now hot spot, this time motivated by the Compton.”

“I do not think that an agency today in 2025 should say:” Oh, we do so much better than in 1995 “,” she continued. “It is a completely different world from that of 1995. You have different demographic data in different fields. You have different population counts in different fields.”

The United States was shaken by waves of violent crimes from one ocean to another in 2020 and the following years, when the pandemic upset daily life with locking orders and demonstrations of social justice and riots broke out in the major cities of the country. The FBI recorded an increase of almost 30% of murders compared to the previous year, marking the highest increase in the year of murders since the agency began to follow crimes.

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Washington, DC, was one of the cities taken in the national trend of crime, recording 198 homicides that year, which marked a 16-year-old summit for the city. The homicides increased to 226 in 2021, another 203 in 2022 and 274 in 2023 – which had a 20 -year summit for the city.

DC, saw homicides drop by approximately 31% from 2023 to 2024, according to data from the Metropolitan Police Department at the end of the year by bringing 274 homicides in 2023, against 187 in 2024. The data showed that violent crimes dropped by around 35% of 2023, when the ministry reported 5,345 violent incidents, to 2024, when 3.469 violent crimes.

“Everyone should celebrate that crime is falling,” said Snider. “But at the same time, we do not have the complete image: why is the crime more deadly than in the past?”

The study of the Council on Criminal Justice revealed, in particular, that the lethality of Washington increased each year from 2012 to 2021, with the exception of 2016.

“The highest increase in one year was a jump of 57% from 2014 to 2015,” the study reported. “From 2019 to 2020, lethality increased by 22%, followed by another increase of 14%in 2021. It then decreased slightly in 2022 (-3%) and 2023 (-8%), before an increase of 5%in 2024. Letheast was significantly higher than in 2024, except for 2019.” However, the lethality observed in 2021 until 2024 was not significantly different from these lethality levels. “”

The author behind the study, the principal researcher of the Criminal Justice Council, Ernesto Lopez, explained to the local media in July that “lethality climbed considerably” in the national capital despite the decline in crime trends.

“We think about the 2012 lethality – again, this share of violence which ended a homicide – which increased by more than 300% from 2012 to 2024, even if the homicide rate drops,” said Lopez in July. “Thus, violent situations can become less frequent, but when these violent situations occur, they end more likely with a death than more than a decade.”

He added that the first point to remember from the study was “homicide and other violent crimes decrease during the first half of this year and continue to fall below pre-pale levels”.

“This is a continuous model of decreasing crime rates,” he added. “Even certain offenses, such as theft of motor vehicles, which see huge points throughout 2022 and 2023, are really starting to descend into many jurisdictions.”

Although violence has dropped to DC in recent years, “it is still at a very high level,” said the president and head of the Directorate of the Criminal Justice Council on Wednesday, Adam Gelb, when they were asked about recent rhetoric that crime is a 30 -year hollow despite the doping of letters in the city.

“There has been a significant and undoubtedly dropping of violence in Washington in the past two years, but it is still at a very high level and there are microts that have been cut against this global positive image,” Gelb said. “When the pieces of the puzzle move in different directions, it is easy for people to choose some of them and create an image that advances their policy and their political program.”

The troops of the National Guard are seen next to a metropolitan police car. (Wttg)

SNIDER has explained that violent crimes decreasing while lethality increases is attributable to a handful of variables, including gang crimes.

“DC is known to have gangs and crews, and I know that there have been increased crime reports for minors,” said SNIDER, pointing a wave that started in 2021 while young people committed violent car shelters. “If you see a higher activity of gangs or crew that potentially uses weapons, it is obviously there that you will see more more serious physical injuries. It is therefore one of the greatest attributes too.”

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The other variables which can contribute to an increase in lethality are long waiting times to receive emergency care, such as slow response times of the EMS or long hospital expectations, and if a police service is in sub-employment.

The study argued that “two interdependent developments” on firearms have probably led letters to DC, affirming that “a widespread availability (firearms) can contribute to a perceived need for self-arming, creating a feedback loop or a” arms race “in which people acquire firearms because they believe that others are armed.”

“This dynamic seems to have real consequences: firearms purchased in 2020 have been used in more crimes than the annual average of previous years. In addition, the flow of new firearms in the legal markets contributes directly to the stock of firearms in illegal markets.” The advancement of firearms technology “which increases their” deadly potential “has probably led letters.

FBI agents in Washington, DC, on August 11, outside the Park Police Station, the Trump Administration’s new repression center against crime in the national capital. (With kind permission: FBI, exclusively provided to Fox News Digital)

SNIDER added that it included the justification of the Trump administration for the federalization of the police, but stressed the importance of having their jurisdiction to the local police directing by understanding the districts they patrol, the community and where the crime hides. SNIDER has argued that the administration should consider providing federal funds to strengthen the capacity of local police services to recruit and retain agents.

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“The police presence in uniform dissuades crime,” she said. “You have two agents or two officers standing in a street corner, you will not see many people slipping, you will not see many people sell drugs at the corner, you will not see many people withdraw, that it leaves the MPD with?”