Iran is ready to exploit the power of power while the United States reduces the presence of the Middle East

Only six months after the Trump administration said it would start to eliminate US forces in Syria, the United States confirmed this week that it would also start reducing the number of US forces in Iraq under an agreement concluded by the Biden administration – a move of security experts could benefit Iran and its “ghost empire”.

Only six months after the Trump administration announced its intention to reduce American forces in Syria, the Biden administration confirmed this week that it would also reduce the troop levels in Iraq by virtue of a new agreement – a move of security experts could strengthen Iran and its “shadow empire”.

The changes came in the middle of a Reduced reduction In the threat of the ISIS terrorist network and an American desire to end the “wars forever”.

But an American presence reduced in Iraq and Syria has profoundly security experts against the void of power it will create in the two countries and the immediate threat that Iran poses.

Iran for decades has expanded its influence in Iraq and Syria, and has established a complex and highly anchored presence in the region in the region militarily, politically, economically and socially – which makes it extremely difficult to divert or thwart its even influence in the midst of a change of diet in Syria.

People are waving rifles in the air as they come together to celebrate the fall of the Syrian regime in place Omeyyad on December 8 in Damascus, Syria. (Ali Haj Suleiman / Getty Images)

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“The relationship between Islamic revolutionary Iran and Syria dates back to the 80s. It is not something that has just started with the advent of the Syrian civil war,” said Gregg Roman, executive director of the Middle East forum, to Fox News Digital. “They took 40 years of relationships and finally transformed this into a business.”

Iran used the militant Shiites forces not only of Syria, but of Iraq, Afghanistan and Lebanon, to build a “parallel military infrastructure” in coordination with the body of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) which transformed Syria into an “Iranian operational base”.

According to an investigation report compiled by the Middle East forum, using sources on the ground integrated into Iranian military installations through Syria since 2018, Iran has not only built underground tunnels and weapons deposits for its elimination, Tehran has been deeply integrated into the daily life of Syrians thanks to an integrated system that lengthened military duty with military programs civilians.

Its command structure also transcends the traditional borders of the nation state by integrating the Iranian, Lebanese and Iraqi commanders.

While Iran Now Faces Opposition in Syria following the collapse of the Bashar al-Assad Regime with the December 2024 Takeover by the Sunni Paramilitary Organization Hay’at Tahrir Al-Sham (HST)-Once Deemed by the Us as a Terroist Organization Deriving from al qaeda-Tehran has the Potential to Take Advantage of That Of Lack of A Unified Government across Syria, as well as an immensely complex geopolical dynamic where Israel, Turkey and Russia are all competing for more influence in the nation.

The masked Shiite fighters supported by Iran hold their weapons in Al Hadidiya in Iraq, south of Tikrit, en route to the city of Al-Alam controlled by the Islamic State, where they are preparing to launch an offensive on March 6, 2015. (Reuters / Thaier al-Sudani)

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Roman underlined that if the HS, in coordination with the Kurds in the Northeast or the Druze, in the Southwest, is not able to create a “bulwark” against the Iranian influence, then Tehran could be well positioned to extend its regional interest under its “shadow empire”.

“Perhaps the most worrying is the previous one established by the success of Iran in the construction of this ghost empire,” said the report. “The ability to build parallel military infrastructure, independently operate on the control of the host government and to maintain strategic capacities despite an international examination provides a model that could be reproduced elsewhere in the region.”

Although its strategy could be slightly different, Iran has repeatedly used power vacuum cleaners to extend its scope and counter the influence of the United States, as shown by the two Afghanistan, where it supported the Taliban, and Iraq, where it began to support the Shiite Shiite groups that fight in the United States in 2003.

“Iranians have a strategy in Iraq and it is effective,” said Bill Roggio, an expert analyst in terrorism and editor -in -chief of the For Defense of Democracies “Long War Journal” Fox News Digital. “They use military, political and economic means to achieve their objectives, and their proximity to Iraq really helps them to achieve it.”

Roggio said there were hundreds of thousands of activists supported by Iran in Iraq who are largely part of the popular mobilization forces, which have been strongly influential in the fight against the Islamic State and are among the Iraqi armed forces under the command of the Prime Minister, but which are also strongly influenced by Tehran.

The popular mobilization forces of Iraq, dominated by the Shiite militias supported by Iran, hold an Islamist flag after the Iraqi forces took over the city of the northern Islamic State earlier in the month, a photo taken on April 5, 2015 in Tikrit, Iraq. (Mohammed Sawaf / AFP via Getty Images)

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“They exert a significant influence in the Iraqi government. They occupy a large dominant block in the Iraqi parliament. And these militias also have economic power,” said Roggio. “Iran has built these militia forces in the same direction as Hezbollah, and they essentially want that they finally become like the body of the Islamic revolutionary guard in Iran.”

Roman and Roggio both expressed their concern in the face of the withdrawal of American troops from the region, and more importantly, the abolition of American influence at a time when Iran seeks to counter Washington and its interests.

“We have not learned the lessons of Afghanistan and even Iraq lessons,” said Roggio. “I don’t care if we have 100 or 100,000 soldiers in Afghanistan, or elsewhere – do we have the right troops to carry out the mission we have published for them?”

“We are talking about a number of troops … We are not really talking about what is our mission in Iraq? Is this a counter-Isis mission? Is it a mission of Iranian influence of the spy?

“And do we have the right mixture of military and diplomatic and economic and economic influence in Iraq to achieve these objectives? I don’t think we do it,” he added.

The American forces offer military training to members of the YPG / SDF, which Turkey considers as an extension of PKK in Syria, in the district of Qamisli in the province of Al-Hasakah, Syria, August 18, 2023. (Photo of the agency Hedil Amir / Anadolu via Getty Images)

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The two experts stressed that the United States has a long history of not taking Iran and the threat it poses sufficiently seriously – a problem that lasted decades in republican and democratic administrations.

“The Iranians are patient. They work on decades and generations deadlines. And we are not patient. We operate on time and electoral cycles of two and four,” said Roggio. “In the end, Iran seeks to chase the United States of the region and extend its influence in neighboring countries, whether in Afghanistan, whether Iraq, be it the Gulf States.

“The ultimate goal is to take out the United States so that it can extend its influence.”