Experts question the impact of the Palestinian State’s recognition on the peace of Gaza

In the midst of a wave of global titles declaring total famine in the Gaza Strip, the leaders of France, Great Britain and Canada, as well as some other countries, have declared their intention to officially recognize a Palestinian state as a means of ending the war of almost two years.

However, the announcements – a direct response to the major world titles and the shocking photographs of allegedly hungry children – could become hollow statements after the Israeli government said on Friday that it would broaden the military operation in Gaza as the only way to defeat Hamas, the Palestinian terrorization group designated and the restoration of the peace of October 7.

Recognition of a Palestinian state by an increasing number of states could arrive at the United Nations General Assembly next month. However, with Hamas still present in Gaza and still holding at least 50 hostages, and with other Palestinian leaders, the Palestinian authority of the West Bank, weak and corrupt, this recognition will compromise efforts to achieve both a short and long-term solution to the intractable old decade conflict?

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French President Emmanuel Macron, on the right, and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer recently declared their intention to recognize a Palestinian state. The two are seen here at a meeting on the situation in Ukraine and security issues in Europe in Elysée Palace on February 17, 2025 in Paris. (Tom Nicholson / Getty Images)

“I suppose that there is a combination of considerations here – some linked to foreign policy, others to domestic policy – but the basis is still the naive belief that a Palestinian state is the right way to solve the conflict,” the former national national security adviser from Meir Ben Shabbat told Fox News.

Ben Shabbat, who directed the National Security Council from 2017 to 2021, said that from the point of view of French President Emmanuel Macron, “the initiative itself is what matters, not its content or chances of success”.

“It is doubtful that he considered the consequences that it could have, even in the Palestinian camp itself,” said Ben Shabbat.

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The Palestinian terrorists of Hamas rose to Rafah in the Southern Gaza Strip on February 22, 2025, on the day of a hostage transfer to Gaza after the deadly attack on October 7, 2023. (Reuters / Hatem Khaled / Photo file)

Last week, Ghazi Hamad, a senior Hamas Political Bureau based in Qatar, told Qatari News Network Al Jazeera that the international recognition of a Palestinian state was “one of the fruits of the October 7 attack”.

“Why do all these countries recognize Palestine now?” He said, according to a translation of Arabic by Memri non -profit organization. “The overall result of October 7 forced the world to open their eyes to the Palestinian cause and to act with force in this regard. (They now recognize) that the Palestinian people deserves freedom and their own state.”

Israeli leaders have warned that the recognition of a Palestinian state at this stage would be a clear reward for terrorism, and it will certainly not do much to strengthen the position – or popularity – of the president of the Palestinian Authority Mahmoud Abbas, who has been accused of corruption and which has refused to hold democratic elections for 20 years.

It is unlikely that the international recognition of a Palestinian state is changing reality on the ground in Gaza or in the West Bank, which both changed physically and demographically since the initial plans of a two -state solution were written within the framework of the OSLO agreements about 32 years ago.

“In practical terms, the effects of unilateral recognition are quite limited,” said Ben Shabbat. “Recognition does not deal with borders and, in fact, most of the world has already recognized a Palestinian state when it has been accepted as a state of UN observer (in 2012).”

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Hamas terrorists killed civilians, including women, children and the elderly, when they attacked Israel on October 7. (Israel defense forces via AP)

“The main impact of these declarations is psychological-the momentum they could generate and the foundations they make for potential practical decisions,” he said.

Gayil Talshir, political scientist and expert in Israeli trends and public opinion of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, said that the stages to recognize a Palestinian state were “empty statements” which could in fact end up “aggravating the situation”.

“It is a reaction to images instead of thinking about diplomacy and the process so as to make a real change,” she said.

On the other hand, the “New York Declaration” published last week by the Arab League, which called on Hamas to release all the hostages, to disarm and to end its Gaza Forges rule a more promising path to peace, she said.

The Palestinians walk during the funeral of Palestinian terrorists killed during conflicts the day before the Israeli military operation in Jenin in the occupied West Bank on July 5, 2023. (Jaafar Ashtiyeh / AFP via Getty Images)

“What is the political imagination being held behind the French Declaration of Support of Palestine if it does not say that Hamas should not be part of such a state or that the Palestinian Authority, which is completely corrupt, should not be part of it,” said Talshir.

“A statement may seem very fair for France and Canada and for the rest of these states, but that in fact complicates the situation and perhaps even distances an option that could materialize in the future,” she added. “Instead of building a process in which you have an international supervision on Gaza and perhaps also on occupied Palestinian territories and gradually build the Palestinian capacities of self-dalustation, they only stand with Hamas against Israel.”

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The president of the Palestinian authority Mahmoud Abbas at a management meeting in Ramallah in the West Bank on April 23, 2025. (Reuters / Mohammed Torokman)

Among some Palestinians too, the idea of the state, although welcomed, feels far out of reach.

“Practically speaking, I cannot see that this will happen soon. This must happen thanks to long -term negotiations,” said Huda Abu Arqoub, activist for Palestinian Peace consolidation, referring to the idea of a Palestinian state.

“For the Palestinians who look at what is happening in Gaza, something in us is dead. And with this kind of despair, we just don’t have luxury at the moment to think of the next day or a two -state solution.

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“Once this war is out of the image, perhaps we can breathe, perhaps we can group together, perhaps we will be open to other solutions rather than to the solution based in Oslo,” said Abu Arqoub, who acts as a peace advisor for the European Union and certain Arab states, including Saudi Arabia.

Instead of an international community “just taking sides”, she added, “there must be a transition period so that the Palestinians find a kind of confidence in the system, in the solution to two states, and to give us the choice that we wanted to be part of a political entity which takes place or not.”