The EU commissioner warns a possible coordinated assault in Russia-China by 2027

The very first defense commissioner of the European Union issued a striking warning: the “most dangerous moment” in the world could arrive in 2027, when Russia and China could coordinate the aggressive measures designed to overwhelm the Western defenses.

Andrius Kubilius, the EU defense and space commissioner, echoed the recent remarks by General de l’Air Force Alexus Grynkewich, NATO commander for air operations. The two officials stressed 2027 as a potential year of flash point when simultaneous military actions in Moscow and Beijing could extend the Transatlantic Alliance to its limits.

“The most dangerous moment can be in 2027 when Russia and China will do these aggressive movements in a coordinated manner,” Kubilius told journalists during a briefing in Washington.

Grynkewich had warned last week that the United States and its European allies should be ready to fight two wars simultaneously – one in Europe, if Russian president Vladimir Putin intensifies in Ukraine or Eastern Europe, and another in the Pacific if Chinese President Xi Jinping is launching an invasion of Taiwan.

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EU defense commissioner Andrius Kubilius said: “The most dangerous moment can be in 2027 when Russia and China do these aggressive movements coordinated.” (Reuters / Juan Medina)

“We are going to need each kit and equipment and ammunition we can beat this,” said Grynkewich.

In a speech later Monday evening, Kubilius said that the United States had the “right and reason” to turn to China.

“We recognize that you, the Americans, really have the right and reason in the longer term perspective to start moving more and more towards Indo-Pacific in order to mitigate the growing Chinese military power,” he said.

“We, Europeans, must accelerate our defense capacities,” said the former Lithuanian Prime Minister, adding: “This is what we do.”

Their warnings are aligned with growing concerns in the American defense establishment on what is often called the “Davidson window” – a term invented by the former head of the Indo -Pacific command Philip Davidson, who testified before the Congress in 2021 that China could try to meet with Taiwan by 2027. soldiers for a potential cream.

The United States should soon reduce its posture in Europe to further attract attention to Indo-Pacific. (Us Air Force Photo by Airman 1st Class Edgar Grimaldo)

The 2027 window has taken an additional emergency as China quickly accelerates its military modernization program, aimed at achieving what Xi Jinping called the “world class” war capacities. Time time – simultaneously place strategic pressure on two fronts.

Kubilius went to Washington to assess the potential European defense capacities deficits while the United States is increasingly alleviating its strategic attention to Indo-Pacific. He said that EU member states were actively preparing for a change in the American military posture on the continent.

In 2025, more than 80,000 American soldiers were stationed in Europe – a presence that should decrease in the coming years when the Pentagon pressed its European allies to assume greater responsibility for their own defense.

“We are preparing to assume responsibility for our shoulders,” said Kubilius. “We don’t know what Americans will decide.”

Kubilius stressed that Europe must not only finance its own defense, but also build it. He noted that the EU had reduced its dependence on weapons manufactured in the United States by 60% of total imports to 40%, and hopes to reduce this dependence more thanks to the increase in domestic production.

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NATO leaders at the summit last month in Washington agreed to increase defense spending – by 2% of GDP to 5% for member countries. (AP photo / Geert Vanden Wijngaert)

As a defense commissioner, Kubilius is responsible for implementing a framework of $ 840 billion to “rearore Europe”, including an ease of loan of 150 billion euros available for the Member States for the construction of their armed forces and their industrial capacities.

In addition, NATO leaders at the top of last month in Washington agreed to increase defense spending – passing the reference from 2% of GDP to 5% for member countries, a historic change in the alliance posture in the midst of increasing global instability.

Adding to the feeling of emergency, President Donald Trump announced that the United States would offer advanced weapons systems to Ukraine – provided that European partners cover the cost. The western defense ministers met on Monday to discuss the proposed financing mechanism.

“We are going to send patriots to NATO, then NATO will distribute this,” said Trump last week, referring to high -value air defense systems that kyiv has long wanted.

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Kubilius refused to develop on other weapons can be included in the package, but stressed the critical importance of maintaining unwavering support for Ukraine against the large -scale invasion of Russia.

“China is watching,” he said. “China will be able to conclude that if the West is weak in Ukraine, then we can expect China aggressive behavior against anyone.”